Top Dogs: Sunday Stats - Sun, June 2, 2019

Hi everyone,

Welcome to the weekly Sunday Statistics Post.

Okay, this post is a little late and I’m sending it out on Monday morning, but we’ll just all pretend, okay? :)

We’ve now had 22 days since the big losing streak ended and I implemented some techniques to slow down unit spends while also aiming to recover. I think it’s prudent to aim for lower unit spends. Faves are still winning more than they usually do this season (and definitely more than last year) at this point in the season.

We’re recovering, but slowly. If you’re like me, slower, but more consistent gains is much more desirable than wild swings in profits and losses.

I’m continuing to test additional conservative and aggressive strategies to work into this system. My goal is always more consistent gains over the long-term.

Anyway, on to our weekly stats!


  • With Week 9 we continue our positive ROI ways. :)

Units, profits and losses:

Next, the same thing, but in a “Waterfall Chart” format, which are handy for seeing gains vs losses and how they make up the total.


Now, Return on Investment is one of my favorite stats with any system, because it tells you in one number how well the system is doing. This is why I share it (and maybe why other systems don’t? When I look at other systems, I always have a hard time finding detailed performance data and ROI).


I’ve updated our new graph for this week - more of a table-graph hybrid, I guess.

It shows how often we get different numbers of wins from our 6 underdogs.

73% of the days so far this MLB season have had at least 2 wins from our 6 underdogs. With the right staking, even 2 wins is enough to break even or make a small profit on a day.

Future Graphs:

I have a few more interesting graphs planned for future editions of this Sunday Stats post:

  • Longer term data, as we get to the 60, and 90-day marks of the MLB season

Basketball & Hockey

As the baseball season progresses and we get closer to the fall, Top Dogs will have basketball and hockey stuff here… I’ve been collecting all kinds of data during the 2018-19 hockey and basketball seasons and am developing some great systems for them (so we can continue our profit-making in the baseball off-season). I’ll be sharing a lot of analysis and results from my testing.

See you next Sunday (or tomorrow morning if you’re a subscriber).


I’ll be populating this section with other systems I’m recommending or testing.