Top Dogs: Sunday Stats - Sun, June 30, 2019

Hi everyone,

Welcome to the weekly Sunday Statistics Post. This is the first one in two weeks. I’m sorry for the lack of one last week.

Those of you who have followed this system for a while know that I’m brutally honest when it comes to performance data. If the system is doing great, then great, but if it’s not doing well I’m not going to hide it… I’ll be transparent and test and adjust tweaks to the system so that things get better.

This system has settled down since June 10 when I re-weighted the multiple capping and staking models I combine for this system - things are looking good in the 20 day since that happened.

Here are our performance ROIs from today’s daily email:

  • Last 7 days ROI: +0.39%

  • Last 14 days ROI: +7.13%

  • Since June 10 (20 days): +6.37%

  • Last 30 days ROI: -29.20%

  • 2019 MLB Season ROI: -6.42%

Anyway - on to the stats!


The blue line is June 10th, when I re-weighted the models. I’m still showing the time before that because not showing it would be dishonest. I’m sharing my systems with honesty in mind - if a system isn’t doing well and I change things to make it better, you should know (and anyone thinking of following this system should know).

I believe that with the right staking, ANY win percentage can be profitable if the staking is right. Here are our 2019 MLB season stats thus far. Not the prettiest, but improving.


These weeks end on Saturdays now, instead of Wednesdays. It just makes more sense as I try to send these stats posts out on Sundays.

Units, profits and losses:

Next, the same thing, but in a “Waterfall Chart” format, which are handy for seeing gains vs losses and how they make up the total.


Now, Return on Investment is one of my favorite stats with any system, because it tells you in one number how well the system is doing. This is why I share it (and maybe why other systems don’t? When I look at other systems, I always have a hard time finding detailed performance data and ROI).

Basketball & Hockey

As the baseball season progresses and we get closer to the fall, Top Dogs will have basketball and hockey stuff here… I’ve been collecting all kinds of data during the 2018-19 hockey and basketball seasons and am developing some great systems for them (so we can continue our profit-making in the baseball off-season). I’ll be sharing a lot of analysis and results from my testing.

See you next Sunday (or tomorrow morning if you’re a subscriber).


I’ll be populating this section with other systems I’m recommending or testing.