TopDogs: Thurs, July 18

Welcome to the free version of the Top Dogs daily email. This system bets on the biggest underdogs every day. Underdogs don’t win most of the time, but they DO win more than everyone expects…

Hi everyone.

2 of our 5 underdogs won yesterday, giving us a small loss on the day.

Our longer term returns are all positive (in the Performance Section below).

DAILY RESULTS:

The premium version of this email has unit sizes every morning if you’d like to play along.


PERFORMANCE DATA:

  • Last 7 game days ROI: +0.77%

  • Last 14 game days ROI: +1.73%

  • Last 30 game days ROI: +0.67%

  • Since June 10 (34 game days): +2.33%

Recent Summary Posts:

SEASONAL GRAPHS:

On June 10th, we re-weighted the capping and staking models that make up this system to account for underdogs losing more than usual in the early part of the season.

If we had been using the post-June 10th weighting from the start of the season, our season graph would look like this (you can see this post for more performance data):

This system had losses before June 10th, before we re-weighted the models that go into this system to account. You can see pre-June 10 performance at this post.

TODAY’S PICKS:

Here are the underdogs to bet on today, according to our Top Dogs System (I use decimal lines and always bet the “moneyline” - if a team wins the game. No spreads).

The premium version of this email has unit sizes every morning if you’d like to play along.

Have a great day. See you tomorrow!


OTHER SYSTEMS: